Friday, April 9, 2010
Oaklands Best Option at QB
Here's what I believe to be the top 5 options for the Raiders at QB for the 2010 season:
5. Charlie Frye - Although his season was a C- at best, throwing for 1 tug and 4 INT's, he shows signs of athleticism, scores TD's on QB sneaks, and excites the fans anytime he come in to replace a 290' Russell.
4. Dennis Dixon - The bay native and Oregon stand out would look awesome in the Silver and Black. Although the Steelers love his skills and probably wouldn't give him up, this is one player worth the typical "the Raiders always over pay over players." (aka. Deangelo Hall and Javon Walker). Giving up some valuables and some cash would would benefit the Raiders with an Athlete, a cannon, and a a player who almost won the Heisman if it weren't for a devastating knee injury against Ariz St (a game I was at).
3. Bruce Gradkowski - The No doubt fan favorite. Bruce stepped it up big time in '09, the supposed break out year for Russell. Although I give him probp for his leadership, drive, commitment to the winning, and his stellar performance vs. the Steelers; consistency is my issue. His performance against the Cowboys is case and point why although he works his ass off, he is at best a 2nd stringer.
2. Jason Campbell - His number during his time on the Redskins don't show his true potential. This guys has excelled is past seasons, been brutally injured as a result of the worst o line in the game, and has been calm and collected through it all. I think given some weapons at WR (T.O.) and a top o-line draft pick he would surprise a lot of people.
1. Jimmy Clausen - I saw earlier today that Mel Kiper Jr. on the Mothership projects the Raiders to draft him at #8 and thought to myself, how did I not think of this earlier? He's labeled at cocky, arrogant, disliked by others, and is a stud behind the pocked with a rocket launcher for an arm; The ideal Raider. Although many would say why waste another #1 pick on a QB, he had proven he can play in a pro offense under Weis at ND, is a team leader, he is in shape (couch couch JR), and is ready to prove the doubters wrong. Obviously, Al Davis is ready to usher out the Jamarcus era, lets do it bu ushering the Clausen era.
As for Jamarcus...I think their is an need for a solid wedge blocker on kick returns or even a workout/drinking buddy for Janikowski
Sunday, March 14, 2010
Bracketology, A Day of Rest for Those Chosen 64
Christianity, Judaism, Buddhism and Scientology, are all very popular religions, but they are not getting practiced this Sunday, today we practice Bracketology! While some are taking this Sunday as a day of rest, College basketball fans worldwide are filling out their brackets. Selection Sunday is finally here. Post your Final Four, Winner, and Sleeper for this years NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament. Selection Sunday........ Yeah It's Awesome BABY!
Thursday, March 4, 2010
Can the Giants shed the Weight?
To improve from 88 wins last season, once again the 2010 Giants will rely heavily on the arms of their pitching staff. Lincecum might not be able to carry the weight of going for his third straight Cy Young, but look for Matt Cain, the now longest tenure Giant to lend him a hand. The recently married Madison Bumgarner, will not only carry the burden of his ball and chain, but the highly touted pitching prospect will be looked upon to contribute every fifth day or from the bullpen. After losing 12 pounds this off-season the 5-foot-11, 245-pound panda is not only looking to improve his figure, but he is looking to improve upon his 2009 stats. 330 Avg. 25 HR 90 RBI was not enough to tip the scales for NL MVP in his direction, but look for slight improvements in the Panda’s second full season in the bigs.
Look for Buster Posey to have a huge Spring Training. This will make the decision hard for the Giants’ brass to put him back down in the minors for more seasoning. The 22 year old lost 15 pounds last season and admitted to being worn down during a lackluster Arizona Fall League. Posey regained those 15 pounds — he's at 215 now — after a winter spent working out six days a week and enjoying his wife's southern cooking.
To take some of the weight off these younger players shoulders, the Giants will look upon a few veteran players who have experienced playoff baseball. With Aubrey Huff and Mark DeRosa coming on board, Manager Bruce Bochy has said he envisions Aaron Rowand as the new leadoff hitter. The CF said he has lost 10 pounds in the off-season, and he owes it all to his new hobby. Rowand became an avid bike rider, cycling four times a week around his Las Vegas home. Rowand hit .294 in 50 games as a leadoff hitter in 2009, so he seems most comfortable in that spot. Although Aaron estimates he rode about 2,200 miles, don’t look for him standing on a podium wearing the yellow jersey anytime soon. The 2008 Silver Slugger Award winner, Aubrey Huff, looks to rebound from a career low year in 2009 where he split time in Baltimore and Detroit. A lifetime .282 hitter with an on-base percentage of .340 and slugging percentage of .472, Huff is not the answer to the Giants' offensive woes. His job in 2010 with the Giants will be mentoring the younger players, and more importantly, protecting cleanup hitter Pablo Sandoval. If the former Devil Ray can put together a season closer to his 2008 numbers, then the Giants' offense arguably should be more productive than 2009.
The addition of Mark DeRosa this off-season might just be the straw that tips the power scales of the NL West in the Giants direction. In DeRosa, the Giants have found a versatile veteran who can hit for power and give the offense some much-needed punch. I am not saying he will match his career-best 23 homers to go along with 78 RBIs for Cleveland and St. Louis. I am saying he is a professional hitter that will take pitches and extend the line up. DeRosa will be an important player on a team that was a bat or two away from making the playoffs last year. He is a player that is used to wining. Having made the playoffs 6 out of 12 seasons. "He's a winning player and any organization wants as many players like Mark on the ballclub, especially ours, that has a chance to turn the corner and get to the playoffs next year," GM Brian Sabean said. " The former University of Pennsylvania quarterback will bring that winning attitude to the Giants, something the team has been missing in this post Bonds Era.
With the 2010 season fast approaching. It’s up to the Giants to be the biggest losers this season and shed that weight of playoff expectations, and turn those expectations into reality.
Monday, March 1, 2010
The Olympics are Over. What Now?
Unfortunately, we won't get to enjoy the games again until August 2012. So what do we do in the meantime? Here are the top five sporting events to look forward to in the near future (in order of awesomeness),
5. NFL Draft
April 22nd. Not everyone's cup of tea, but if you are a die hard NFL fan, or a die hard college football fan, it can be fun. The drafts of previous years are more important, because Raider fans can validate their skepticism and sheer embarassment when looking back. But draft day itself gets the blood going as your team's clock slowly expires.
side note--The Draft beat out the NBA Playoffs. Mostly personal preference on this one...the Warriors are 17-41 at press time.
4. Stanley Cup Playoffs
April 13th. This would be higher on my list, but I am a Sharks fan and my undying interest usually dissipates after they take their early exit. Most casual hockey fans say "call me when the playoffs start", and there is good reason. Every posession is magnified. Teams do whatever it takes not to lose, and it shows. The Cup tournament is the best playoff system in sports.
3. The Masters (yes, even sans Tiger)
April 8th-11th. Ok, I admit, The Masters might have been number two on my list if I knew Tiger was playing. Nevertheless, the tournament at Augusta National will once again captivate golf fans for four days. It has received the tagline "a tradition unlike any other", and rightfully so (Sorry Rose Bowl, that Washington State Oklahoma matchup really bit you in the arse). The stunning beauty of Amen Corner and the drama thick storylines on Sunday make it the best tournament around.
2. NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament
March 18th. There are nothing like the first two rounds of March Madness. Madness truly is the only word to describe it. People who haven't watched a single game all year fill out brackets, which is a good indicator of its Super Bowl like qualities.
1. MLB Opening Day
April 4th. It isn't so much the entertainment value that vaulted this one to the top... no chance I'm watching all nine innings of whatever game ESPN throws on in the morning. It's the idea of baseball being back. It symbolizes the changing of seasons, and re-establishes eternal hope in even the most pessimistic of Cubs fans. After all, Opening Day means next year is upon us.
Wednesday, February 24, 2010
True Crime or Media Hype?
Upon hearing of the NCAA findings regarding alleged violations of the football program at the University of Michigan, I did what I always do with these types of stories: I read the comments section. It’s a great way to get biased, anonymous, and genuine fan reactions. I have to admit my own bias towards Michigan as there is no real sense in hiding it in a blog. Scrolling through the pages of comments on numerous sites I got a sense that there were 3 groups of “commenters”. There are the two extreme sides: the Michigan supporters who think the violations are a bunch of bullshit, and the haters that would pounce on any opportunity to impugn the football program and want their pound of flesh (many OSU fans). These groups are expected and appreciated by any college sports fan. Then you look at the middle group. The group that knows the university broke the rules but realizes the true nature of the violations and the incompetence of the NCAA. I am no apologist, and I’m not going to use the brain-dead argument that “every school breaks the rules so it’s OK”. I merely think we need to put the violations and subsequent media uproar into perspective and I don’t mind defending Michigan’s reputation while I’m at it.
Tuesday, February 16, 2010
Yo Oprah, Do Some Research Next Time
As exhibited in the video below, Oprah either did little research or has a few too many goose cosmos before Brees made his debut.
You would think that she would have her plethora of assistance's fill her in on the specifics of Brees before he came on, such as his 2inch birthmark on the side of his face. I have to admit, that I always just assumed that it was a scar from a hit he took while he has a crappy line in SD, but I wouldn't go as far as Oprah did, and try to wipe it off attributing it to a kiss she thought he had backstage. Maybe next time Marv Albert is on she'll try and pull off his toupee
Monday, February 15, 2010
5 Radical Changes to Make Sports Better
Friday, February 12, 2010
Cheechoo a Bust, or Thornton a Legend?
Players get waived and signed daily. This isn't the story. The story is that Cheechoo was a Rocket Richard Trophy winner (most goals scored in a season) only four years ago. He racked up 56 goals for the Sharks which is still a San Jose franchise record. His electrifying style of play and unrivaled enthusiasm made him a crowd favorite in San Jose. But after a series of nagging injuries, Cheechoo never returned to form and was relegated to the third line. He never recaptured his goal scoring form, and was traded this past off-season to Ottawa.
It really is a shame that Cheechoo has been labeled a bust or an underachiever. This whole saga reveals only one absolute fact: Joe Thornton is the best hockey player in the World. Thornton is the first line center for the Sharks. He dished out many of the assists for Cheechoo's 56 goal season. After the injuries, Cheechoo never got reunited with Thornton and his play suffered drastically. Last season, Sharks youngster Devin Setoguchi had a breakout year, scoring 31 goals and tallying 65 points...Surprise, Surprise: Seto was a winger on Thornton's line. This year, after a few injuries, and relegation to the second and third lines, Setoguchi has only 14 goals through 49 games. Meanwhile, Patrick Marleau and Dany Heatley, both playing alongside Joe Thornton, are having career years.
Cheechoo's situation is certainly disappointing, but to label him a bust is not fair. He benefited from one of the greatest passers of all time, and hasn't caught many breaks since. Hopefully he lands on a team where he can just play hockey and help his team win some games.
Wednesday, February 10, 2010
People of Haiti - "Thanks for the Shirts Peyton."
Despite throwing for 333 yards on 31 completions, Peyton Manning was unable to put on his second Superbowl winning t-shirt over his jersery and shoulder pads after a 33-17 loss to Brees and the Saints.
As a result of this, the NFL has decided to send the already printed "Colts XLIV Champion" shirts to the people of Haiti after their devastating earthquake. This is something that the NFL tries to do every year. Last year they sent the Arizona Cardinals shirts to EL Salvador. However the year before they handed out the "19-0 Champions" New England Patriots shirts to numerous Boston fans that turn up drunk and naked at the Boston PD drunk tank on a nightly basis.
Maybe next year the unused Charger shirts can go to their fans, they'll probably want them.
Half Man, Half God, Half Dud
Being a sports journalist is tough at times. With all the traveling and time away from home, deadlines, angry fan mail, and coaches’ temper tantrums; it can wear a man down. Which makes it that much nicer when a player does your job for you. There has been talk recently of the Jaguars drafting Tim Tebow this year as a way to generate fan interest. I have discussed Tebow’s draft status with my fellow writers and friends and I have heard everything from him being the first QB taken to him going undrafted. While I think he will get drafted, I don’t think it should be on Day 1 or even in the first 5 or 6 rounds. This is when offensive lineman Uche Nwaneri made my life easier and gave an analysis with which I mostly agree. According to the Florida Times-Union:
Nwaneri posted on the Jaguars’ Web site that, while cashing a check, a bank teller started talking about how Tebow will save the Jaguars.
So Nwaneri posted his five points on Tebow, with capital letters:
"1. He can't throw, PERIOD.
2. He can't read any coverage other than probably cover 2 or man.
3. The QB Wildcat WILL NOT WORK IN THIS LEAGUE. PERIOD.
4. He doesn’t know how to take a snap from center.
5. HE CAN’T THROW, and that’s really something you either have or not."
While this is a harsh assessment, I must agree with his assertions. Due to the ESPN love affair with the SEC and Florida, I was privy to watching every single goddamn snap the guy took every Saturday night on Sportscenter. And first off: No, Tebow can’t take a snap from under center. Trying to say that he will learn how is a purely optimistic assumption, and while people who say he won’t are assuming just the same, at least there is tape at this point to prove that claim. Taking a snap in the shotgun means you get to see everything on the field right when you get the ball, while being under center means you will have to turn your back on some plays and have to make a split decision when you turn back around. In watching Tebow, he doesn’t think quick enough. His QB style is essentially to wait for his excellent receivers to get open and then gun it as hard as he can right at them. There is no touch on his throws and no anticipation of either his receivers’ routes or the coverage.
Tebow has also been on a great team and sheltered by a great line. Colin Cowherd made an excellent point a few weeks back that I will paraphrase as best I can: Most of the top quarterbacks weren’t on unstoppable #1 teams. Those players tend to be spoiled and not know how to take a hit or throw to receivers in coverage. They tend to not react well to pressure, and they tend to make rash decisions in those pressure situations. And we all know mistakes in the NFL will kill you much faster than not throwing for TD’s. Mark Sanchez could be an exception to the rule as he had excellent protection at USC, and looks like he has potential. But then look at Leinart and Booty before him. Think about the QB’s that didn’t play behind amazing O-lines in college: Flacco, Ryan, Mcnabb, Warner, Favre, Brees, Rivers, Roethlisberger, Eli Manning, Cutler, Romo, Schaub. Even QB’s who were on pretty good teams like Peyton Manning, Aaron Rodgers, and Tom Brady didn’t have close to the protection that Tebow had. Getting hit and losing are learning experiences that greatly improve a QB’s makeup.
Tebow does have intangibles. He is a leader, he is a genuinely good guy, he will never be a negative distraction, and from what we know at this point, he won’t be out drinking and sleeping around the night before games. He is also tough. He can take a hit (and no this does not contradict my statement above as what I meant above is that he can’t deliver a pass while getting hit). He is the most athletically gifted QB to come out since Vince Young. But like I said about Vince Young before, he will never be a star QB in this league. Young’s feet give him a great weapon just like Tebow’s will, but feet alone don’t win Super Bowls. The NFL is driven by passing. The rules have been changed to protect receivers and quarterbacks. The wildcat phenomenon works for some teams as a change of pace, but it will never become a mainstay or true offensive scheme and no team will run a 2-minute drill in that formation, which means Tebow’s running ability and strength won’t help him as much as you’d think.
I just don’t believe Tebow has the tools and head to be an impact quarterback in the NFL. He has the chance to be a solid backup or a Pat White type, or even a RB of some kind, but I still have doubts about that. While I’m no Tebow fan, him being good would be a positive for the NFL. Especially if he brings fans like his ex-girlfriends with him:
Tuesday, February 9, 2010
28 days is still too long…
February is my yearly sports hell. A month I can describe with a single word: Blah. But hold on!! We start the month with the Super Bowl; the King of Kings, the crème de la crème, the Optimus Prime of a sport that is growing faster than any other in terms of popularity. Certainly this game alone should lift February from the bottom spot. But we forget Super Bowls in February are a new creation. When I was growing up, the Super Bowl was held at the end of January where it belongs, surrounded by its college brethren: Rose,
Obviously, February’s inferiority is not the case for many college basketball fans (which I consider myself to be), but seriously, NCAA basketball has the most meaningless regular season of all the sports. When you realize that 65 teams make the playoff juggernaut that is March Madness, these mid-season games lose their sizzle. I just can’t bring myself to give it credit for a real regular season. The tournament IS the season. So getting excited about a Texas-Kansas matchup is difficult given that they are playing for the right to play
Added to this is the fact that more likely than not, the stars from each year won’t be there next year, so it is very difficult to build continuity or dynasties and capture fans’ full attention like in decades past. The tourney creates stars and storylines every year, but the next season just can’t hold on to them. How much more exciting would it have been to watch Syracuse basketball in 2003 if Carmelo had stayed and Lebron went to college, or this year if the entire rosters of North Carolina and UCLA hadn’t jumped ship? But I digress.
Hockey and the NBA are exciting sports in their own right, but if baseball is a marathon and football is a 100m sprint for Olympic gold, then basketball and hockey regular seasons are like the 5,000m at the Reebok Invitational. Not long enough or complex enough to earn my full respect, and not fast enough to hold my attention for too long. And here’s a huge factor when looking at the NBA and NHL: more than half the league will make the playoffs!!! If you don’t understand how that dumbs down the regular season then I can’t help you. I also must reiterate that I am writing about February. The NBA and NHL playoffs are in May and April respectively. This means the Warriors could feasibly still make the playoffs with an amazing turnaround!! As unlikely as this is, it speaks worlds about the importance of early season NBA games.
Looking deeper, since we know NBA players don’t start playing defense or “trying” until the 4th quarter we are essentially treated to ¼ of a regular season. So in my estimation that’s ¼ for the NBA, ½ for NCAAB and 7/8 for the NHL for a grand total of 1 and 5/8 regular season sports (I was a mathlete). Looking at this year specifically, auxiliary sports such as golf will show us what Tiger truly brings to the sport if he doesn’t return: EVERYTHING!! But Tiger-less golf will be offset by the Winter Olympics this year, which can’t be considered a February regular anyway, so don’t get excited.
Overall, there is a lack of intensity, a lack of relevance, and a lack of excitement in February and this month-long drought can be summed up with what until this year was a symbol of February boredom: the Pro Bowl. Enough said.
Friday, February 5, 2010
TB's Super Bowl 44 Prediction
Wednesday, February 3, 2010
T.O. and Ocho: Commisioners of the More Fun League
The famous quote by the oft-maligned wide receiver evokes one of two responses from pro football fans: laughter or anger. Mostly, fans turn their noses in disgust, citing T.O.'s self-promotion and vanity as reasons. Other NFLers get the same treatment. Chad Esteban Johnson Ochocinco is repeatedly criticized by the media for being a loudmouth and caring only about his personal accolades. What people say is certainly true. These guys love to showboat, celebrate when they score, talk trash, and often pout when they don't get the ball. However, it is all blown out of proportion. Both have clean criminal records, both are active in their respective communities, and both go out of their way to please their fans. For the most part they are just having fun.
The nickname No Fun League has come about for various reasons. Players are not able to celebrate when they score, quarterbacks play by touch football rules, and fines are handed out like pink slips in Detroit. The NFL is the most successful league in the U.S. because of the efficiency with which its run. Ochocinco's No Fun League is Commissioner Goodell's well oiled machine. This is not a letter to the commissioner asking for more lenient rules. The message here is to the fans. These brash and cocky athletes, not just Chad and Terrell, are good for the game. They provide perfect contrast to the Eli Mannings and, well, Peyton Mannings of the world. Part of the problem is that fans are brainwashed. They regurgitate whatever they hear on sports talk radio. When ESPN's talking robots (cough Mark Schlereth cough) go on rants about how T.O. is ruining the Cowboys, fans immediately hop on board.
One question I have is how someone can be insulted for putting a sharpie in his sock during a game and signing the football after scoring a touchdown. That is pure brilliance. T.O. should have been given a bonus for originality. The only thing that Chad should get nailed for is not coming through on some of his potential celebrations. Before the Bengals played the Bears this season, the flamboyant wideout instructed fans to crowd surf him from the endzone back to his sideline after a TD catch. Fearing an astronomical fine, he decided against it. Think of the joy that would have brought tens of thousands of Bengals fans, not to mention the millions watching on TV.
Many fans enjoy these silly outbursts, but loathe the "me me me" attitude. OK fine, but all professional athletes have that gene. When soon to be NFL prospects are lifting weights and running stadiums before the draft they are doing it for one of a few reasons:
1. To become the best.
2. To make money
3. To achieve their personal goal of making it to the NFL.
Not one of them is thinking "I really hope I can be a role player on a mediocre team." Every player wants to win. Every player wants to succeed as an individual. Show me a player that wants to win more than Terrell Owens and I'll eat my socks. The subjects of this article could probably do a better job of being team players, sure, but let's face it, all they really want to do is win. So, instead of chastising these guys for their antics, how about applauding them for their honesty? Nobody is going to change them, so how about this: shut up and enjoy it while it lasts.
A T L
But I believe that not one of these teams can make the best claim to the spot as the NBA's third best team in the 2009-2010 season. My pick is one that not a lot of people are talking about in the national media, at least not as much as Dallas or Denver, and that is flying under the radar a little bit. I believe that, at this point in time, the NBA's third best team is the Atlanta Hawks. This season has been one where every team has shown certain weaknesses, even those at the very top. Thus, rather than making the case against all those other teams and showing why they're flawed, I want to instead focus on why the Hawks are better or "less flawed" than everyone else. This is going to involve a little statistical analysis, so stick with me...
The Hawks have quite a few good players, but no transcendent players like those other teams have. There is no Dirk or Carmelo or Dwight Howard or Paul Pierce and/or Kevin Garnett combo on the Hawks. Despite this lack of a true focal point that exists in one singular player, there is a consistency to the Hawks' lineup that is unmatched in the league right now. One of the statistics that best reflects this are their +/- numbers. Here is, according to NBA.com, what exactly the +/- numbers mean:
The AutoTrader.com +/- stat shows the power of teamwork. It's a way of showing the best-engineered/best combination of players on the court. The +/- stat is a statistic that looks at the point differential when players are both in and out of the game, to see how the team performs with various combinations. The +/- stat can look at a variety of combinations including the best two player, three player and even five player combinations for each game.Looking over the +/- combinations for this season, the Hawks are responsible for many of the top combos. In terms of two player combinations, the Hawks make up almost half of the top ten, with pairings of Joe Johnson, Mike Bibby, Josh Smith and Al Holford. Only the Lakers can compete with the Hawks on this level. The Hawks also possess the top four "3-player" combinations as well as having the top "4-player" combo and fourth and fifth ranked "5-player" combinations. The Hawks also rank in the top 10 in John Hollinger's assist ratio statistic, with 15.5% of their possessions resulting in an assist, as well as having the fourth ranked offense in terms of efficiency according to Hollinger's calculations (which are way too complicated for me to explain here). This is due, in part, to their care for the basketball, as they have the lowest turnover ratio of any team in the league this year, which speaks to the smart and careful play of veteran PG Mike Bibby. What is amazing, and speaks to how well the Hawks play as a unit rather than a collection of players, is that Bibby and SG Joe Johnson each average about the same number of assists per game. Their game is not predicated on the point guard getting the offense going, as the shooting guard can get in the act as well and that reflects a great deal of depth and consistency to their offensive approach.
Where the Hawks are a little bit weak is on the defensive end. The Hawks give up 97 points per game, which is middle of the pack but for a contending team that's a little bit higher than you would like to see. They also rank fairly low according to Hollinger's Defensive Rebound Rate statistic and in the overall Rebound Rate category. Marvin Williams, the SF from North Carolina, underperforms a little bit and that seems like it would hinder their defensive performance a little bit. But what they lack in terms of size and defensive performance they make up for with offensive depth. The Hawks have Jamal Crawford coming off the bench, as he has made his presence known and is a contender for the Sixth Man of the Year Award. Crawford is their 2nd leading scorer, with 17.5 points per game coming off the bench while only playing 30 minutes per game. Joe Johnson puts up only 4 more points on average while playing 7 more minutes than Crawford. In addition, the Hawks have a potentially solid and explosive young point guard in Jeff Teague on the bench as well as Maurice Evans and Zaza Pachulia to take up minutes so the starters can rest.
While there are some concerns about their defense, and I think the back end of their bench is a little thin, I think their offense (and their offensive efficiency) as well as the strength of their top 6 players make the Atlanta Hawks the NBA's third best team heading into the All-Star Break. Above all, I like the cohesion of this team, as it is clearly one where the whole is greater than the sum of its parts. The other teams in the conversation, Orlando or Dallas or Denver or Boston, may have the better singular players, but Atlanta frequently puts out the best combinations of players and players that can flourish when they are put together on the court. They might not have the best players who, as individuals, perform the best but the group of players they have together collectively perform about as well as anyone else in the league.
Tuesday, February 2, 2010
Why O-W-A won't Choose O-S-U
The program Mike Riley has going in Corvallis is truly amazing. They have averaged nine wins over the last four years, and they had the second most selections in the '09 NFL draft, behind USC. The coaching staff consistently transforms two and three star prospects into All Pac-10 players. One thing that Nebraska and UCLA can't promise is stability. Riley's program just won the "Most Family Oriented Program" consellation prize for the fourth consecutive year. The coaching staff as a whole will be there for years to come, and that is an underrated factor in producing great players. Neuheisel is a loose cannon; who knows where he'll be in three years. One ugly season in Lincoln, and Bo Pelini's head would likely be hunted by Husker Nation.
OSU has never landed a five star recruit, and many are very interested in seeing what Riley could do with Owa. He would probably become an all Conference player and sign a mega contract a few years later. His family could watch him play every weekend, and all would be well in Corvallis. However, this is one of the most important decisions of the kid's life, and he is a very intelligent and methodical high schooler. He uses words like "retrospective" and "comprehension" in his interviews. The millions he'll make in the NFL isn't going to influence him into an impulse buy. UCLA is a superior academic institution to OSU. Nebraska has a superior football tradition to OSU's. Moreover, colleges are named universities because of the universal opportunities they provide students. OSU doesn't swing and miss in this category, but Odighizuwa has spent his life in the Willamette Valley. He has the chance to expand his horizons and get a different view of the world. The cornbelt and SoCal are quite the contrasts to Northwest Oregon, and something tells me Owa is itching to experience a brand new culture.
Don't get me wrong, I hope he proves me wrong tomorrow. Beaver Nation would welcome him with open arms. But football is just a game, and 17 year old males are unpredictable organisms. My money is on UCLA because if Nebraska steals another five star lineman from Multnomah County, Portlandites and Beaver fans alike will set Lincoln ablaze.
NBA All-Star Voting-- Is It Broken?
If you look at the West's starting lineup, it seems like the fans got it right (Nash, Kobe, Carmelo, Duncan and Amare) but the East's starting lineup shows just how much the fans vote for the "name" rather than the performance from year to year. The fans selected Allen Iverson and Kevin Garnett to start the game, when there were clearly not deserving of a starting spot. Iverson has only played in 25 games while Garnett is only averaging 14.6 ppg and 7.4 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, the Hawks' Joe Johnson is averaging 21.4 points per game and the Raptors' Chris Bosh is putting up 24 points and 11 rebounds per game. Their biggest problem-- they either play in Toronto or they aren't Allen Iverson, one of the most recognizable basketball players of modern memory. If you put Bosh or Johnson on the Celtics, they would easily be in the starting lineup because people would know who they were since they played for one of the most well-known NBA teams.
This is what happens when you let the fans vote, and being able to vote multiple times (there's a cap, that you can vote like 10 times, but still that's a lot of times to vote). Yes, there are fans out there who vote based upon who is having the best year and has the superior numbers, but that's a very small minority. Not to get too political, but the same things happen during presidential elections. I like to imagine that people voted, like I did, because I listened to what the candidate had to say and followed them and firmly believed that their plan was the best for the country. But most people vote based upon one or two soundbites which might be accurate, but can also be misleading. If there isn't a real standout player (like LeBron or Kobe-- they're both big names but also deserve to start without a doubt), the majority of fans will go with a big name, even if it's faded, rather than someone who they would have to dig a little bit deeper to discover. Now, I don't have a problem with that on its own and I know the majority of people don't care as much about basketball as I do to really consider who is having the best season. But I believe our expectations about the All-Star game means that we need to take it a little bit more seriously.
Whenever one complains about these voting irregularities, someone playing in an all-star game because they have a greater name recognition even though they are statistically lacking, people point out that "the game doesn't count" and "it's just an exhibition." Well I think there are three reasons why that is a faulty approach to maintain. First of all, all-star appearances factor in when some of these guys are negotiating their contracts. It's used as one barometer for success and ability in the NBA, so we shouldn't be quite as flippant about its weight. One might also say "well, if he's not starting he'll be picked as a reserve so he'll make the team anyways." But then you're bumping out someone, like a David Lee or Paul Pierce this year, who is deserving and would get a reserve spot had the spots been more or less correctly distributed. Secondly, if everyone is all right with big names winning out over smaller names with superior stats, we should really change the name from "All-Star Game" to "Big Name Game." If you're presenting this as a display of the NBA's best players playing together, you can't have players in who aren't playing on that same level. If the fans really want to see a game where all the big names play even if they aren't playing a lot or having good seasons, guys like Garnett or Iverson or Tracy McGrady or Shaquille O'Neal, then make it the "Big Name Game" and don't tell me it's a true "All Star Game." Finally, people who have no problem with the way things are now say the game is "just for fun" and "a show" or "entertainment." To be honest, a lot of these people are involved in television so things like ratings matter. But wouldn't it be easier to sell if you had truly the most talented players playing? The product will clearly be better if you have only players who are playing at a high level together. If it's just a show, I think having Joe Johnson or Chris Bosh starting and playing more minutes would make it a much better and inherently more watchable one.
I'm not quite sure what the solution to this problem is. I clearly don't think the fans always get it right, as this year proves that point, but I do think it's good for the fans to have some say in the matter. Perhaps the fan's vote needs to be weighted somehow, split 50/50 with basketball writers for the starting lineup while the coaches would choose the reserves for each squad. I think that would allow the fans to have some voice but the writers (who are, ostensibly, authorities on such things) could correct irregularities in situations such as the one we had this year. I know I'm making a big deal out of something that is an exhibition, but if it's an exhibition why should we, as fans, care this much about our vote? We should be concerned with getting to watch the best display of talent on the basketball court. And while the fans have shown the ability to get most of it right, they also are able to get certain parts horrendously wrong.
Monday, February 1, 2010
If you don't Like Hockey you are, in Fact, an Idiot
Hockey and the NHL will never be immensely popular in the U.S. A small fraction of American children grow up playing hockey. Even I can admit that it is pretty odd that both LA and Phoenix have hockey teams. But besides the NHL's minor flaws, it really is a shame that more people aren't interested in the game. Hockey contains all the elements of an exciting and intriguing sport: speed, skill, contact, and bonus...fighting. The NHL contains all the elements of a great league: young stars in Ovechkin and Crosby, parity (13 teams in the West have a shot at the playoffs), the best jerseys in sports(the Blackhawks, sorry Yankees), and the best trophy in sports to name a few. There are a plethora of sports entertainment opportunities in this country, and hockey is often disregarded, but here is how the NHL stacks up against its major competitors.
NHL vs. NBA
The NBA puts out a pretty good product these days. Lebron and Kobe are unstoppable, the Celtics and Lakers are at the tops of their respective conferences, and...ok that's all I can think of. In what other sport do you find yourself changing the channel more at the end of a game, when teams exchange fouls and free throws for a seemingly infinite amount of time? Is it really that intriguing to watch Lebron walk down the court with the ball, make one move and chuck up a 25 footer at least 12 times a game? Hockey is played at a break-neck speed for 60 minutes, the last five minutes of a close game are unbelievably exciting, and you will never see a player bitch slap another player and back away as he pretends to struggle against his teammates' restraint (see, Carmelo Anthony).
NHL vs. MLB
Baseball is my favorite sport. Even if it wasn't, as an American, I'm contractually obligated to say I like it more than hockey. It is the great American past time, and it is America's sport. Those that argue for football being such were either dropped as children or are simply communists. There is truly nothing better than going to the ballpark in September to watch your team in a pennant race. However, let's remember that Major League Baseball was carried by cheaters and liars for about a generation. One great thing about hockey is the honesty and integrity that the players exhibit. You can almost be certain that there are no roids in the game, because if there was any suspicion within the league, the guy would get his face bashed in.
NHL vs. NFL
This could be tough. The NFL is incredibly popular. It markets itself extemely well, and the ease of fantasy football only adds to the popularity. But for me, some things are missing. Where are the intense rivalries? Niners Cowboys was good in the early 90s, but they play each other twice a decade or something. Packers Bears? I don't have a logical argument against that one, but intrigue is not a word I would use to describe it. There are rivalries in the NHL that compare only to those of European soccer clubs. Try wearing a Canadiens jersey to the Boston Garden, or an Oilers jersey to the Saddledome in Calgary. I'll save you the blackeye...don't do it.
NHL vs. MLS
Haha, no, just kidding.
Since it would be sacrilegious not to mention Barry Melrose in my first hockey blog, he says that hockey is the greatest game in the World. Agree or disagree, I can with 100% honesty tell you that he has an argument. So, if you don't like hockey (and still want to listen to me preach), please take the four minutes it takes to learn the rules, and go to a game. You will enjoy it.
And the poor shall inherit the earth...
First, a few distinctions are necessary before some of my close Yankee friends (you know who you are) simply categorize this and other signings as simply publicity stunts by a GM that doesn't care about winning, but only selling tix and turning a profit. THE A'S ARE POOR and their owners are cheap. Most intelligent fans understand that poor teams must operate differently than the elite/wealthy but that's an entirely different article all together.
For this post, we should look at just one facet of the overall strategy: Draft picks. Anyone who follows a small market team or who has read Moneyball understands that draft picks mean substantially more to teams like the A's as opposed to teams that can afford to sign established players. We also know that drafting players is a toss-up. For every Tim Lincecum there are 10 Craig Italianos (who?--exactly!) and teams are simply making educated guesses with a large factor being luck. So laws of probability would tell us that having more draft picks will generally increase the odds of landing a stud down the road. But while teams are compensated with one draft pick when a player leaves via FA, there is no other way to acquire picks or even trade down for more picks. Teams must therefore acquire post-draft talent. Acquiring prospects becomes a strategy in itself: when to dump your veterans, when to trade prospects for more prospects, when to trade prospects for immediate help, etc... What I believe Beane has done, is find a way to buy prospects. That's right, he can defy the Baseball Gods and do what even a fat check from Cashman cannot.
Here is how it's done: First you find a gamble such as Ben Sheets, someone who is maybe coming off injury, or a bad year, or simply a player that needs to prove himself. Then you determine how much you can spend on that player (the A's payroll was substantially less this year compared with last year and thus they had capital to burn) and then give it to him. There are then two outcomes, one good and one bad as with any gamble. Obviously if Sheets shits the bed the A's will have wasted 10 mil, but if he meets the high expectations the A's esentially have 10 mil. to spend on prospects. Many believe the A's will not be in contention, and if that's the case, a contender or "faux-contender" (hello Mets!) will surely come knocking, and because teams tend to overspend when it comes to making a late season playoff push, the seller has the upper hand. The A's simply trade Sheets for a few quality prospects increasing your minor league talent pool and increasing the odds of landing the Tim Lincecum making small change for his first few years.
What has happened is Beane has paid 10 mil. for prospects in a year when the A's will have a tough time competing anyway and he hasn't given up any prospects in return which is the important thing. All that is required is money to gamble with, patience, and a desperate sucker to give up the most valuable commodity to a small-market team: prospects. While sign-and-trades are nothing new, I do believe gambling for prospects is a new way of looking at the small-market strategy.